NBA Blog Previews: 30 Teams in 30 Days finally concluded today with 93 Questions (and answers) from Tom at Sactown Royalty. Apologies for not keeping up with the rest of the Pacific Division—travel and illness got in the way.
As many have already observed, the blog previews were quite optimistic as a whole. This is understandable; for many fans, October is the most hopeful time of the year. A few interesting notes about the preview predictions:
- The average predicted record was 48-34, which translates to a .585 winning percentage.
- 3 previews predicted a losing record. The TrueHoop Blazers preview didn't include a predicted record, but could probably be added to this figure as well.
- 6 previews predicted a year-over-year decline in wins (and 2 of those were for the Pistons).
- 2 previews predicted a lower win total than the oddsmakers.
I've loaded all of the predicted win totals into a sortable table which allows you to compare preview predictions to last season as well as oddsmakers picks. Click any of the column headings to toggle the sort:
| Team | Preview | Last Season | Oddsmakers | Preview Prediction | Prediction - Last Season | Prediction - Oddsmakers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers | Passon & Pride | 38 | 34 | 47 | 9 | 13 |
| Blazers | TrueHoop | 21 | 24.5 | - | - | - |
| Bobcats | Bobcat Bonfire | 26 | 33 | 42 | 16 | 9 |
| Bucks | 5-Point Bucks | 40 | 38.5 | 44 | 4 | 5.5 |
| Bulls | Blog-a-Bull | 41 | 49.5 | 55 | 14 | 5.5 |
| Cavaliers | YAYsports! NBA | 50 | 49.5 | 58 | 8 | 8.5 |
| Celtics | LOY's PLACE | 33 | 36.5 | 40 | 7 | 3.5 |
| Celtics | CelticsBlog.com | 33 | 36.5 | 42 | 9 | 5.5 |
| Celtics | Celticsstuff Live | 33 | 36.5 | 48 | 15 | 11.5 |
| Clippers | ClipsNation | 47 | 47 | 52 | 5 | 5 |
| Grizzlies | Beale Street Beat | 49 | 38.5 | 45 | -4 | 6.5 |
| Hawks | Impending Firestorm | 26 | 28.5 | 37 | 11 | 8.5 |
| Heat | Crazy From the Heat | 52 | 51 | 54 | 2 | 3 |
| Hornets | Hornets 24/7 | 38 | 40 | 48 | 10 | 8 |
| Jazz | lowpost.net/blog | 41 | 41.5 | 43 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Kings | Sactown Royalty | 44 | 42 | 50 | 6 | 8 |
| Knicks | Bench Renaldo | 23 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 10 |
| Lakers | Showtime | 45 | 42 | 44.5 | -0.5 | 2.5 |
| Lakers | Jones on the NBA | 45 | 42 | 48 | 3 | 6 |
| Lakers | Forum Blue & Gold | 45 | 42 | 49 | 4 | 7 |
| Magic | Believing in Magic | 36 | 39.5 | 45 | 9 | 5.5 |
| Mavericks | Mavs Moneyball | 60 | 56 | 59 | -1 | 3 |
| Nets | NetsDaily Blog | 49 | 46.5 | 51 | 2 | 4.5 |
| Nuggets | The Nugg Doctor | 44 | 42.5 | 51 | 7 | 8.5 |
| Pacers | Donning Craig Sager's Suit | 41 | 43.5 | 43 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Pistons | Detroit Bad Boys | 64 | 50.5 | 55 | -9 | 4.5 |
| Pistons | Need4Sheed | 64 | 50.5 | 57 | -7 | 6.5 |
| Raptors | HoopsAddict.clom | 27 | 34.5 | 42 | 15 | 7.5 |
| Rockets | Rockets Blast | 34 | 47 | 57 | 23 | 10 |
| Sonics | SonicsCentral.com | 35 | 34 | 45 | 10 | 11 |
| Spurs | Pounding the Rock | 63 | 56 | 58 | -5 | 2 |
| Suns | Pohenix Suns Rising, Suns Gossip | 54 | 55.5 | 60 | 6 | 4.5 |
| Timberwolves | I Heart KG | 33 | 36 | 42 | 9 | 6 |
| Warriors | lowpost.net/blog | 34 | 37 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| Warriors | Golden State of Mind | 34 | 37 | 41 | 7 | 4 |
| Wizards | Bullets Fever | 42 | 40 | 50 | 8 | 10 |
Comments[1]
Posted by jgurney on October 30, 2006 10:02:42 PM PST
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Re: 2006-07 Blog Preview Wrap-up
If the average is 48 wins, then the average differential would be minus 7. You can put the KoolAid down and just subtract 7 wins from my prediction. Of course, some are more off than others, but I'm willing to accept the average for my contribution.
Comment from Jon Burkett on October 31, 2006 11:51:13 AM PST