Statistical analysis, charts, graphs, and observations from a lifelong NBA fan.

Golden State's announcement last week to bring back Don Nelson as coach made a big splash around the league. Almost everyone seems to agree that Nellie will make the Warriors more fun to watch next year. Whether he can put an end to the team's 12-year postseason drought is a different question.

If you're like me, you've wondered how the 12-year streak stacks up against other postseason droughts in NBA history. Thanks to basketball-reference.com, I was able to compile this information from their vast archives. Here are the 10 longest dry spells in NBA history:

Longest NBA Postseason Droughts
Team # of Seasons Years
Los Angeles Clippers 15 1977-1991
Golden State Warriors 12 1995-2006
Dallas Mavericks 10 1991-2000
Golden State Warriors 9 1978-1986
Sacramento Kings 9 1987-1995
Utah Jazz 9 1975-1983
Denver Nuggets 8 1996-2003
Los Angeles Clippers 8 1998-2005
Memphis Grizzlies 8 1996-2003
Washington Wizards 8 1989-1996

As you can see, Golden State's current 12-season streak is the 2nd longest overall. A few interesting notes:

  • As most people remember, Nelson was the Warriors' coach the last time the team appeared in the playoffs—in 1984.
  • The coach who ended the Clippers' 15-season streak, Larry Brown, had been rumored to be taking over for the Warriors this offseason as well.
  • Nelson helped to end the 3rd-longest streak, leading the Mavericks to the playoffs in 2001 (his 3rd year in Dallas).
  • The Warriors' other long postseason drought was ended by George Karl in 1987. Nelson joined the team before the 1988-89 season.
  • The long Grizzlies (Memphis plus Vancouver) and Jazz (Utah and New Orleans) streaks comprised the first several years of each franchise's existence. Perhaps it shouldn't be too surprising that both teams changed cities during this period of fruitlessness.

Next, here's a look at all 158 postseason droughts since 1950, organized by length of streak. Almost half of all dry spells have lasted for just 1 season, with the team in question making the playoffs the next season. Nearly two-thirds of all dry spells have been over after 3 seasons.

The Warriors are fortunate to have some of the most loyal fans in the league. Despite all of the recent futility, local support is as strong as ever after the big announcement:

ESPN.com's Marc Stein also thinks that Nelson makes the Warriors a playoff team. Unfortunately, I just don't see that happening ... there are too many good teams in the West, and the current Warriors squad just doesn't compare to Nelson's successful teams in the past (the Run-TMC Warriors, the Dirk-Finley-Nash Mavericks, or even the Marques Johnson-Sidney Moncrief-Bob Lanier Bucks). I hope I'm wrong about this. Regardless, I'm sure I'll enjoy watching.

UPDATE: GSoM dug up most of Golden State's last playoff game from 1994 on YouTube. Barkley dropped 56 points on Webber (in his last game as a Warrior).


The latest brainchild from CelticsBlog.com's Jeff Clark launched today: 2006-07 team-by-team previews, written by basketball bloggers from around the league. It's a great idea, and should provide an interesting window into the minds of fans around the...

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